Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 12.394276 14.528662 16.861530 19.592883 22.694950 26.100213 30.112596
2025-03-16 8.055623 10.743334 14.005251 18.217989 23.473080 29.767955 37.829602
2025-03-23 6.333933 9.352969 13.326887 18.852835 26.236350 35.649069 48.424291
2025-03-30 5.277985 8.494436 13.024348 19.714021 29.155321 41.791274 59.722986
2025-04-06 4.160456 7.273798 11.948895 19.250223 30.082697 45.227784 67.585362
2025-04-13 3.208551 6.084728 10.680592 18.250380 30.018097 47.145888 73.353961
2025-04-20 2.871856 5.815416 10.757734 19.244847 32.923218 53.451925 85.725709
2025-04-27 2.640830 5.677124 11.008050 20.508611 36.313609 60.675319 99.879660
2025-05-04 2.308451 5.284349 10.757620 20.890469 38.298307 65.859397 111.256220
2025-05-11 1.967243 4.803600 10.272403 20.791176 39.447514 69.772808 120.867463
2025-05-18 1.649747 4.303469 9.670471 20.394676 40.023436 72.760657 129.145032
2025-05-25 1.391229 3.874094 9.135560 20.042812 40.614927 75.769796 137.579850
2025-06-01 1.162840 3.479608 8.644901 19.783994 41.473351 79.497051 147.805959
2025-06-08 0.889668 2.906828 7.687974 18.493193 40.332450 79.770925 152.398105
2025-06-15 0.797804 2.779370 7.687657 19.155164 42.947628 86.807477 168.968432
2025-06-22 0.730102 2.700877 7.785513 20.031907 46.050399 94.911169 187.850195
2025-06-29 0.600289 2.401616 7.299691 19.562405 46.406259 97.999150 198.017695
2025-07-06 0.469613 2.053275 6.619489 18.548760 45.525629 98.685729 203.860057
2025-07-13 0.440136 2.033258 6.794407 19.557117 48.985572 107.843409 225.697350
2025-07-20 0.422189 2.049369 7.070176 20.838358 53.131734 118.561365 250.949689
2025-07-27 0.375746 1.944811 6.988722 21.225466 55.344386 125.604766 269.634071
2025-08-03 0.321360 1.789037 6.728700 21.124810 56.451827 130.502437 284.469726
2025-08-10 0.267689 1.613587 6.372717 20.722856 56.825869 133.921131 296.602891